Senior Machine Learning Engineer II, Ads Response PredictionActive

The opportunity

As a Senior Machine Learning Engineer II on the Ads Response Prediction team, you will lead the design and development of core ML models that power Instacart’s ads ecosystem. This is a research-leaning role focused on theoretical problem formulation, training methodology, and…

What you'll do

  • Lead research and development of pCTR and conversion prediction models, with: a focus on improving calibration, reducing training data biases (selection bias, position bias, optimizer’s curse), and advancing model accuracy across Instacart’s ads surfaces.

  • Design and implement debiasing techniques such as Mixed Negative Sampling: (MNS), Inverse Propensity Weighting (IPW), counterfactual risk minimization, and calibration methods (Platt scaling, isotonic regression) to address systematic prediction biases.

  • Contribute to the next-generation Multi-Domain Multi-Task (MDMT) model: architecture, incorporating innovations like Mixture-of-Experts (MoE), Transformer layers for sequential user behavior, and LoRA adaptors for scalable domain fine-tuning.

  • Drive sequence modeling initiatives including the TIGER generative retrieval: system and Semantic ID representation learning, expanding their application across ads surfaces such as Product Details, Search and other placements.

  • Collaborate with the broader ML community in the company on the path toward: Foundation Models using autoregressive user behavior prediction.

  • Formulate and scope ambiguous modeling problems from first principles.: Translate business observations (e.g., overcalibration patterns, cold-start underperformance) into well-defined ML research directions with clear evaluation criteria.

What they're looking for

  • Experience in ads ranking or auction-based systems (pCTR, bid optimization,: ROAS feedback loops, marketplace dynamics).
  • Hands-on experience with autoregressive sequence models for user behavior: prediction, generative retrieval, or transformer-based ranking architectures.
  • Familiarity with learned representations such as Semantic IDs, product: embeddings, or other approaches to reducing feature cardinality and cold-start challenges.
  • Experience with transfer learning or domain adaptation techniques (e.g.,: LoRA, adapter-based fine-tuning) applied to recommendation or ranking models.
  • Publication record in top-tier venues (KDD, WWW, RecSys, NeurIPS, ICML, SIGIR, or similar).
  • Experience mentoring junior engineers or shaping technical direction for a modeling team.
  • Familiarity with LLM-driven approaches to recommendation, including: prompt-based personalization and AI-assisted model development (AutoML).
Senior Machine Learning Engineer II, Ads Response Prediction at Instacart | Role Match